Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.Gazprom: It will continue to deliver natural gas to Europe through Ukraine, with a delivery volume of 42.4 million cubic meters on Thursday.
Liu Shijin: To expand consumption, we should manage from the source, and give priority to improving basic public services and consumption of low-and middle-income groups. Liu Shijin, deputy director of the 13th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Economic Commission and former deputy director of the the State Council Development Research Center, pointed out in his speech at the main forum of the 2024 Southern Finance and Economics International Forum that the macro-economy is picking up, but it is also facing the increasing pressure of insufficient total demand, especially insufficient consumer demand, and the focus of which is insufficient service consumption. We should give priority to improving basic public services and the consumption environment of low-and middle-income groups through "source governance" to promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. On the basis of short-term stimulus policies, combined with medium-and long-term reforms, we will solve the institutional problems that restrict the expansion of consumption and help China's economy achieve high-quality development. "At present, it is necessary to distinguish the problems caused by insufficient demand from the causes of insufficient demand." Liu Shijin pointed out that from the perspective of international comparison, the lack of consumption demand in China at this stage is a structural deviation. In Liu Shijin's view, it is necessary to identify the key points or pain points in expanding consumer demand at this stage. First, service consumption based on basic public services, including education, medical and health care, affordable housing, social security, culture, sports and entertainment, financial services, transportation and communication; Second, the middle and low-income class with migrant workers as the focus; Third, people-centered, urbanization and urban-rural integration. (21 Finance)President of Hilton Asia Pacific: India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade. According to the data of the World Tourism and Travel Council, in 2023, Indian tourists spent $34.2 billion on outbound travel. Allen Watts, president of Hilton Asia Pacific, said that compared with the future, the current level of Indian outbound travel consumption is "negligible". "The story of India is unfolding before us," he said. "India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade." According to the World Tourism and Travel Council's Economic Impact in 2024 report, by 2034, the outbound spending of Indian tourists is expected to more than double, reaching 76.8 billion US dollars, which will make India's position in the global tourism consumption country rise from the 12th in 2023 to the 7th.The latest collection price of the heavy anticancer star drug Regofibril has dropped to a minimum of more than 4 yuan per tablet. The reporter learned at the scene of the tenth batch of drug collection that the anti-tumor drug Regofibril tablets with annual sales of more than 1 billion yuan have been auctioned by this collection, and the price has almost dropped to between 4 yuan and 6 yuan, which is 90% lower than the price limit. Nanjing Zhengda Tianqing is expected to win the bid in the first round of quotation. Regofibril can treat colorectal cancer, liver cancer and other cancers. Its original research manufacturer is Bayer, which occupies almost all the market share in China. The price of this collection is about 172 yuan per tablet. (science and technology innovation board Daily)
Market News: The Slovak Prime Minister said that Slovakia supports the normalization of relations between Russia and western countries and opposes the emergence of a new iron curtain in Europe. The Slovak Prime Minister emphasized that all conflicts will be finally resolved through negotiations.Xinxuan Group: The sales volume of the "Xin Huo Plan" is nearly 2 billion yuan, and Xinxuan Group disclosed the sales data of the live broadcast of the "Xin Huo Plan" in Shanxi Station. Statistics show that the two live broadcasts brought a total of 3.67 million orders, helping Shanxi specialty products with sales exceeding 180 million yuan to go nationwide. It is understood that this activity is guided by the Shanxi Provincial Department of Commerce. According to the disclosure, Xinxuan Group's "Xin Huo Plan" went to the whole country to carry out a number of live broadcast activities to help farmers, with sales of nearly 2 billion yuan. In addition, Xinxuan Group has donated a total of nearly 400 million yuan to the society. (Sina Technology)South Korea's National Election Commission: South Korean President Yin Xiyue's remarks undermined South Korea's electoral system.